Texas Holdem Probability Of Hands

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Below is our newly developed Texas Holdem Odds Calculator – which does more than just compare your hand against another hand, but can compare your hand against a RANGE of Holdem hands.

We always put our opponent on a range of poker hands, and with our Texas Holdem Odds Calculator, we can calculate the odds of us winning against that entire range.

The chances of the first card in their hand being one of these two cards are two out of 52. If they get one of them as the first card that leaves the single other card they need out of 51 unseen cards, or one out of 51. You multiply two over 52 times one over 51 and this. The Texas Hold’em odds of how likely hands are to unfold after the flop will help guide almost every action you make on the flop Odds On the Flop in Texas Hold’em The flop is the turning point of a Hold’em hand. This is where you’re going to make your biggest and most expensive decisions. Using The 'Outs' To Calculate Texas Hold'em Poker Odds. We have already determined that you have nine 'outs'. Now there are 52 cards in a deck and two of those are in your hand, leaving 50. The chances of getting a top starting hand (of double aces, picture pairs or A-K.

Once calculated, you can copy/paste the results and share on social media or post in a poker forum.

Texas Hold’em Odds Calculator Instructions

To use the Texas Holdem Odds Calculator, first select your starting Hole cards.

Then you have the option to select the Table cards or community. This is optional.

Then you may select any Dead cards. This step is also optional.

Texas Holdem Hands Chart

Now click in the Against section, and select the poker hands within your opponent’s range. This is the critical part – you have to really think about what your opponent could be holding. You can select the PP button at the top right corner to automatically select all pocket pairs.

Please note that when selecting the range of hands of your opponent, you can also differentiate between suited cards (bottom right) versus non-suited hands (top left).

Click Run to calculate the percentages of winning, pushing, and losing this hand of Texas Holdem poker.

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Ever wondered where some of those odds in the odds charts came from? In this article, I will teach you how to work out the probability of being dealt different types of preflop hands in Texas Holdem.

Odds Of Texas Holdem Hands

Hands

It's all pretty simple and you don't need to be a mathematician to work out the probabilities. I'll keep the math part as straightforward as I can to help keep this an easy-going article for the both of us.

  • Probability calculations quick links.

A few probability basics.

When working out hand probabilities, the main probabilities we will work with are the number of cards in the deck and the number of cards we want to be dealt. So for example, if we were going to deal out 1 card:

  • The probability of dealing a 7 would be 1/52 - There is one 7 in a deck of 52 cards.
  • The probability of dealing any Ace would be 4/52 - There four Aces in a deck of 52 cards.
  • The probability of dealing any would be 13/52 - There are 13 s in a deck of 52 cards.

In fact, the probability of being dealt any random card (not just the 7) would be 1/52. This also applies to the probability being dealt any random value of card like Kings, tens, fours, whatever (4/52) and the probability of being dealt any random suit (13/52).

Each card is just as likely to be dealt as any other - no special priorities in this game!

The numbers change for future cards.

A quick example... let's say we want to work out the probability of being dealt a pair of sevens.

  • The probability of being dealt a 7 for the first card will be 4/52.
  • The probability of being dealt a 7 for the second card will be 3/51.

Notice how the probability changes for the second card? After we have been dealt the first card, there is now 1 less card in the deck making it 51 cards in total. Also, after already being dealt a 7, there are now only three 7s left in the deck.

Always try and take care with the numbers for future cards. The numbers will change slightly as you go along.

Working out probabilities.

  • Whenever the word 'and' is used, it will usually mean multiply.
  • Whenever the word 'or' is used, it will usually mean add.

This won't make much sense for now, but it will make a lot of sense a little further on in the article. Trust me.

Probability of being dealt two exact cards.

Multiply the two probabilities together.

So, we want to find the probability of being dealt the A and K. (See the 'and' there?)

  • Probability of being dealt A - 1/52.
  • Probability of being dealt K - 1/51.

Now let's just multiply these bad boys together.

P = (1/52) * (1/51)
P = 1/2652

So the probability of being dealt the A and then K is 1/2652. As you might be able to work out, this is the same probability for any two exact cards, as the likelihood of being dealt A K is the same as being dealt a hand like 7 3 in that order.

But wait, we do not care about the order of the cards we are dealt!

When we are dealt a hand in Texas Hold'em, we don't care whether we get the A first or the K first (which is what we just worked out), just as long as we get them in our hand it's all the same. There are two possible combinations of being dealt this hand (A K and K A), so we simply multiply the probability by 2 to get a more useful probability.

P = 1/2652 * 2
P = 1/1326

You might notice that because of this, we have also worked out that there are 1,326 possible combinations of starting hands in Texas Holdem. Cool huh?

What Are Good Texas Holdem Hands

Probability of being dealt a certain hand.

Two exact cards is all well and good, but what if we want to work out the chances of being dealt AK, regardless of specific suits and whatnot? Well, we just do the same again...

Multiply the two probabilities together.

So, we want to find the probability of being dealt any Ace andany King.

  • Probability of being dealt any Ace - 4/52.
  • Probability of being dealt any King - 4/51 (after we've been dealt our Ace, there are now 51 cards left).

P = (4/52) * (4/51)
P = 16/2652 = 1/166

Texas Holdem Probability Of Hands Worksheet

However, again with the 2652 number we are working out the probability of being deal an Ace and then a King. If we want the probability of being dealt either in any order, there are two possible ways to make this AK combination so we multiply the probability by 2.

P = 16/2652 * 2
P = 32/2652
P = 1/83

Texas Holdem Probability Of Hands

The probability of being dealt any AK as opposed to an AK with exact suits is more probable as we would expect. A lot more probable in fact. Also, as you might guess, this probability of 1/83 will be the same for any two value of cards like; AQ, JT, 34, J2 and so on regardless of whether they are suited or not.

Probability of being dealt a range of hands.

Work out each individual hand probability and add them together.

What's the probability of being dealt AA or KK? (Spot the 'or' there? - Time to add.)

  • Probability of being dealt AA - 1/221 (4/52 * 3/51 = 1/221).
  • Probability of being dealt KK - 1/221 (4/52 * 3/51 = 1/221).

P = (1/221) + (1/221)
P = 2/221 = 1/110

Easy enough. If you want to add more possible hands in to the range, just work out their individual probability and add them in. So if we wanted to work out the odds of being dealt AA, KK or 7 3...

  • Probability of being dealt AA - 1/221 (4/52 * 3/51 = 1/221).
  • Probability of being dealt KK - 1/221 (4/52 * 3/51 = 1/221).
  • Probability of being dealt 7 3 - 1/1326 ([1/52 * 1/51] * 2 = 1/1326).

P = (1/221) + (1/221) + (1/1326)
P = 359/36465 = 1/102

This one definitely takes more skill with adding fractions because of the different denominators, but you get the idea. I'm just teaching hand probabilities here, so I'm not going to go in to adding fractions in this article for now! This fractions calculator is really handy for adding those trickier probabilities quickly though.

Overview of working out hand probabilities.

Hopefully that's enough information and examples to allow you to go off and work out the probabilities of being dealt various hands and ranges of hands before the flop in Texas Holdem. The best way to learn how to work out probabilities is to actually try and work it out for yourself, otherwise the maths part will just go in one ear and out the other.

I guess this article isn't really going to do much for improving your game, but it's still pretty interesting to know the odds of being dealt different types of hands.

I'm sure that some of you reading this article were not aware that the probability of being dealt AA were exactly the same as the probability of being dealt 22! Well, now you know - it's 1/221.

Starting

Other useful articles.

  • Poker mathematics.
  • Pot odds.
  • Equity in poker.

Go back to the poker odds charts.

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Texas Holdem Probability Starting Hands

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